Writing
Articles, engineering notes and research notes. Nothing is published yet; these are the first planned pieces.
Evidence before interpretation: how I think about event intelligence
Why the sources and corroboration of an event come before any claim about its effects.
What breaks first when a data collector runs for months
Notes on keeping a long-running collector alive on modest hardware.
Second-order effects, described without price predictions
How to talk about indirect effects without turning them into forecasts.
How article pages on this site are set
The reading layout, figures, notes and motion rules for long text.